Quote:
Originally Posted by Larry Boy  I mentioned it in passing, along with the random trials. What's your point? Does it justify your claiming that all the trials were non-random?
There are no patterns in the homecomings, there are patterns in the times she leaves. How does the dog calculate when she will come home based on when she leaves, if the homecomings are randomly determined? |
The "random" homecomings aren't that random.
They arranged around times where the owner is available to return home which coincide with peaks in the time when she routinely comes home.
The owner knows the period in which she will return home because she arranged these times. From the graphs the mean time for the beep into this "beep" period is ~27 minutes with a standard deviation of 11 minutes.
The dog only needs to have a rough estimate of the time when the owner is likely to return and to start going to the window a bit before this time. The dog will then sepnd more time at the window during the return period than the main period with no need for supernatural explanations.