Quote:
Originally Posted by Topher Cooper  You need to be real careful about this. Years ago Charles Tart pointed out that a well recognized and understood phenomena in psychology (the phrase "training to extinction" comes to mind, but I don't remember whether that was the accepted name for it or just a description) might be a contributor to the "decline effect" in parapsychology. Basically, if you reward and/or punish an organism on the basis of an essentially noisy "signal" then they will tend to learn some random set of characteristics, which can end up decreasing the number of actual hits. This essentially makes the results even more "noisy" which causes further degradation.
Charley did some experiments that demonstrated that this actually seemed to be occurring in psi experiments. |
Sounds for me like saying:
"be carefull, because you can have a few lucky trials, but after a while, of course, they will be a return toward the mean (or average)".
Well, that's kind of obvious. Alex should stop now that he's lucky, but with more and more trials and more and more dogs, things are going to look a lot less impressive.
Well, even now, he's just showing on YouTube his best trials, the lucky ones, but doesn't show the rest. It's kinda a filedrawer effect. He's goal is to make believers trough YouTube, not to really inform people...